437
FXUS64 KLIX 082053
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
353 PM CDT Tue Apr 8 2025
...NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 352 PM CDT Tue Apr 8 2025
Finally, the sun has returned and winds have relaxed a little
today. The region remain under a dry northwesterly flow aloft
being on the western side of the broad scale trough over the
eastern U.S. At the surface, high pressure is spreading into the
region from the west...meaning the pattern support a rather
benign/quite short term period. Temperatures will gradually
increase through the short term both overnight and during the day
with daytime highs increasing to the middle and perhaps upper 70s
to upper 40s and lower 50s overnight. (Frye)
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday night)
Issued at 352 PM CDT Tue Apr 8 2025
Overall, no real pattern change going into the long term with dry
northwest flow continuing and surface high pressure center over or
close to our region over the northern Gulf. Upstream, a cold front
will be on the move south as a Canadian trough begins to drop
southward and amplify. This will be enough to slide the front
through our region by early Friday. At this juncture the QPF
signal is not strong at all. Outside of maybe a couple of clouds,
especially across the MS Gulf Coast not much of an impact. What
will be impacted is surface moisture and temperatures. Daily MaxTs
will likely go mostly unchanged with 70s expected, but overnight
slightly cooler and again RH values will also remain comfortable
into the upcoming weekend. Looking beyond the weekend a dry
pattern will persist through the end of the forecast period as an
H5 ridge begins to build over the northwest and north Gulf Coast
and a surface high just south of the Florida Panhandle. (Frye)
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Apr 8 2025
VFR conditions expected through the cycle with only light
northerly winds generally less than 10kt. (Frye)
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 352 PM CDT Tue Apr 8 2025
High pressure will continue to build into the local waters through
Wednesday leading to mostly light and variable winds to take
shape. Overall, favorable marine conditions will continue through
the period with a slight uptick in winds behind a front late in
the workweek or this upcoming weekend. That said, winds behind the
front should remain below 20kt. (Frye)
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 43 76 51 81 / 0 0 0 0
BTR 47 77 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
ASD 47 77 54 81 / 0 0 0 0
MSY 55 75 57 81 / 0 0 0 0
GPT 48 74 55 78 / 0 0 0 0
PQL 45 75 52 79 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...RDF
LONG TERM....RDF
AVIATION...RDF
MARINE...RDF
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